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Horse Racing Track-by-Track Odds Shifts and Market Insights
- 2024/11/15
- 再生時間： 2 分
- ポッドキャスト
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サマリー
あらすじ・解説
**Track-by-Track Movement Analysis:**
- **Newcastle:** Notable odds shift in the 2:30 PM race with "Eclipse" dropping from 4/1 to 3/1 in the past 12 hours.
- **Cheltenham:** "Thunderbolt" in the 3:15 PM race has seen significant late money, moving from 5/1 to 3/1.
- **Aqueduct:** In the 12:40 PM race, "Starlight" has moved from 6/1 to 4/1, indicating strong backing.
**Key Market Influences:**
- **Weather Impact:** Cheltenham's going has changed to soft, which could favor horses with proven form in such conditions.
- **Jockey Change:** At Newcastle, "Eclipse" now has a top jockey, contributing to its odds drop.
- **Equipment Change:** "Thunderbolt" at Cheltenham will wear blinkers for the first time, which could explain the late money.
**Money Flow Indicators:**
- **Unusual Betting Patterns:** Large wagers have been placed on "Starlight" at Aqueduct, significantly affecting the win pool.
- **Multi-Race Wager Trends:** The Pick 4 at Cheltenham is drawing heavy interest, with many including "Thunderbolt" in their selections.
**Value Opportunities:**
- **Overlay Opportunities:** Based on speed figures, "Kerguelen" in the 6th race at Canterbury is undervalued at 10/1.
- **Undervalued Horses:** "Eclipse" at Newcastle could still offer value despite the odds drop, given its strong form.
**Critical Race Factors:**
- **Pace Scenario Analysis:** The 3:15 PM race at Cheltenham is expected to have a fast pace, which could suit "Thunderbolt."
- **Track Bias Reports:** Aqueduct's track bias favors horses drawn near the rail, benefiting "Starlight."
**Pool Analysis:**
- **Pool Sizes:** The win pool for the 2:30 PM race at Newcastle is larger than average, indicating high interest.
- **Carryover Impacts:** The Pick 6 at Cheltenham has a significant carryover, attracting more bets.
**Historical Context:**
- **Past Performance:** "Thunderbolt" has performed well in soft conditions, making it a strong contender at Cheltenham.
- **Trainer Patterns:** The trainer of "Eclipse" has a good record at Newcastle, which could explain the odds shift.
- **Newcastle:** Notable odds shift in the 2:30 PM race with "Eclipse" dropping from 4/1 to 3/1 in the past 12 hours.
- **Cheltenham:** "Thunderbolt" in the 3:15 PM race has seen significant late money, moving from 5/1 to 3/1.
- **Aqueduct:** In the 12:40 PM race, "Starlight" has moved from 6/1 to 4/1, indicating strong backing.
**Key Market Influences:**
- **Weather Impact:** Cheltenham's going has changed to soft, which could favor horses with proven form in such conditions.
- **Jockey Change:** At Newcastle, "Eclipse" now has a top jockey, contributing to its odds drop.
- **Equipment Change:** "Thunderbolt" at Cheltenham will wear blinkers for the first time, which could explain the late money.
**Money Flow Indicators:**
- **Unusual Betting Patterns:** Large wagers have been placed on "Starlight" at Aqueduct, significantly affecting the win pool.
- **Multi-Race Wager Trends:** The Pick 4 at Cheltenham is drawing heavy interest, with many including "Thunderbolt" in their selections.
**Value Opportunities:**
- **Overlay Opportunities:** Based on speed figures, "Kerguelen" in the 6th race at Canterbury is undervalued at 10/1.
- **Undervalued Horses:** "Eclipse" at Newcastle could still offer value despite the odds drop, given its strong form.
**Critical Race Factors:**
- **Pace Scenario Analysis:** The 3:15 PM race at Cheltenham is expected to have a fast pace, which could suit "Thunderbolt."
- **Track Bias Reports:** Aqueduct's track bias favors horses drawn near the rail, benefiting "Starlight."
**Pool Analysis:**
- **Pool Sizes:** The win pool for the 2:30 PM race at Newcastle is larger than average, indicating high interest.
- **Carryover Impacts:** The Pick 6 at Cheltenham has a significant carryover, attracting more bets.
**Historical Context:**
- **Past Performance:** "Thunderbolt" has performed well in soft conditions, making it a strong contender at Cheltenham.
- **Trainer Patterns:** The trainer of "Eclipse" has a good record at Newcastle, which could explain the odds shift.