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NFL Line Moves: Lamar Jackson Injury, 49ers' Bye Boost, Rams' West Coast Edge
- 2024/11/07
- 再生時間： 3 分
- ポッドキャスト
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サマリー
あらすじ・解説
**NFL Line Movements:**
- **CIN@BAL:** The spread has moved from BAL -6.5 to BAL -6, influenced by Lamar Jackson's knee injury, though he is expected to play.
- **SF@TB:** The spread shifted from SF -6 to SF -5.5, with the board split between 5 and 5.5. The 49ers have a situational edge coming off a bye week.
- **ATL@NO:** The spread remains at ATL -3, with some support for Atlanta reflected in the vig at the key number of 3. The total dropped to 46.5.
- **NE@CHI:** The spread moved from CHI -7 to CHI -5.5 due to a pick release on the Patriots, with some buy-back at 5.5.
- **MIA@LAR:** The spread moved to LAR -2.5 across the board, with a situational edge for the Rams as the Dolphins travel to the West Coast for their second consecutive road game.
**Top 3 Games with Highest Betting Volume:**
1. **SF@TB:** High volume due to the 49ers' situational advantage and the Buccaneers' short week.
2. **CIN@BAL:** Volume increased due to Lamar Jackson's injury status.
3. **MIA@LAR:** High interest due to the Rams' situational edge and the Dolphins' challenging travel schedule.
**Sharp vs. Public Money Discrepancies:**
- **NE@CHI:** Sharp money on the Patriots pushed the line down from 7 to 5.5, contrasting with public backing of the Bears.
- **MIA@LAR:** Sharp action on the Rams moved the line to 2.5, while public money slightly favors the Dolphins.
**Key Injuries:**
- **Lamar Jackson (BAL):** His knee injury led to a slight decrease in the spread, though he is expected to play.
**Reverse Line Movements:**
- **NE@CHI:** The line moved against the public favorite (Bears) due to sharp action on the Patriots.
**Opening vs. Current Lines:**
- **CIN@BAL:** Opened at BAL -6.5, now at BAL -6.
- **SF@TB:** Opened at SF -6, now at SF -5.5.
- **MIA@LAR:** Opened at LAR -1.5, now at LAR -2.5.
**Consensus Across Major Sportsbooks:**
- **CIN@BAL:** Most books at BAL -6.
- **SF@TB:** Split between SF -5 and SF -5.5.
- **MIA@LAR:** Consensus at LAR -2.5.
**Futures Markets:**
No significant changes reported in the past 24 hours.
**Steam Moves:**
- **NE@CHI:** Synchronized line movement across books due to sharp action on the Patriots.
**Trends and Historical Patterns:**
- **SF@TB:** Teams coming off a bye week have a historical edge, favoring the 49ers.
- **MIA@LAR:** West Coast teams often have an advantage over East Coast teams traveling for a second consecutive road game, favoring the Rams.
**NHL Line Movements:**
- No significant movements reported in the past 24 hours.
**MLB and NBA:**
- No games scheduled due to the off-season.
**Prop Bets:**
- No unusual or noteworthy prop bets gaining significant attention were reported.
**Election Betting:**
- **Presidential Election:** Donald Trump's odds to win have strengthened, moving from -159 to -173 at BetOnline, indicating a significant shift in betting markets.
- **CIN@BAL:** The spread has moved from BAL -6.5 to BAL -6, influenced by Lamar Jackson's knee injury, though he is expected to play.
- **SF@TB:** The spread shifted from SF -6 to SF -5.5, with the board split between 5 and 5.5. The 49ers have a situational edge coming off a bye week.
- **ATL@NO:** The spread remains at ATL -3, with some support for Atlanta reflected in the vig at the key number of 3. The total dropped to 46.5.
- **NE@CHI:** The spread moved from CHI -7 to CHI -5.5 due to a pick release on the Patriots, with some buy-back at 5.5.
- **MIA@LAR:** The spread moved to LAR -2.5 across the board, with a situational edge for the Rams as the Dolphins travel to the West Coast for their second consecutive road game.
**Top 3 Games with Highest Betting Volume:**
1. **SF@TB:** High volume due to the 49ers' situational advantage and the Buccaneers' short week.
2. **CIN@BAL:** Volume increased due to Lamar Jackson's injury status.
3. **MIA@LAR:** High interest due to the Rams' situational edge and the Dolphins' challenging travel schedule.
**Sharp vs. Public Money Discrepancies:**
- **NE@CHI:** Sharp money on the Patriots pushed the line down from 7 to 5.5, contrasting with public backing of the Bears.
- **MIA@LAR:** Sharp action on the Rams moved the line to 2.5, while public money slightly favors the Dolphins.
**Key Injuries:**
- **Lamar Jackson (BAL):** His knee injury led to a slight decrease in the spread, though he is expected to play.
**Reverse Line Movements:**
- **NE@CHI:** The line moved against the public favorite (Bears) due to sharp action on the Patriots.
**Opening vs. Current Lines:**
- **CIN@BAL:** Opened at BAL -6.5, now at BAL -6.
- **SF@TB:** Opened at SF -6, now at SF -5.5.
- **MIA@LAR:** Opened at LAR -1.5, now at LAR -2.5.
**Consensus Across Major Sportsbooks:**
- **CIN@BAL:** Most books at BAL -6.
- **SF@TB:** Split between SF -5 and SF -5.5.
- **MIA@LAR:** Consensus at LAR -2.5.
**Futures Markets:**
No significant changes reported in the past 24 hours.
**Steam Moves:**
- **NE@CHI:** Synchronized line movement across books due to sharp action on the Patriots.
**Trends and Historical Patterns:**
- **SF@TB:** Teams coming off a bye week have a historical edge, favoring the 49ers.
- **MIA@LAR:** West Coast teams often have an advantage over East Coast teams traveling for a second consecutive road game, favoring the Rams.
**NHL Line Movements:**
- No significant movements reported in the past 24 hours.
**MLB and NBA:**
- No games scheduled due to the off-season.
**Prop Bets:**
- No unusual or noteworthy prop bets gaining significant attention were reported.
**Election Betting:**
- **Presidential Election:** Donald Trump's odds to win have strengthened, moving from -159 to -173 at BetOnline, indicating a significant shift in betting markets.