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Top Racing Picks: Aeliana, Far Too Easy, and Undervalued Horses Highlighted
- 2024/11/13
- 再生時間： 2 分
- ポッドキャスト
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サマリー
あらすじ・解説
**Track-by-Track Movement Analysis:**
- **Caulfield:** Aeliana is a dominant favorite in the Group 1 market, firming since the Derby Day triumph to $3. Zeitung is on the second line at $6, with Declichy Boulevard at $8 after a freshen-up[1].
- **Newcastle:** Far Too Easy is a well-tried favorite to win the feature Group 2, firming from $4.60 to $4.50. Private Eye is on the second line at $6.50 but is heading to Caulfield for the Rupert Clarke[1].
**Notable Odds Shifts:**
- **Pisces:** Firmed from $11 to $8 after beating Bittercreek at The Valley[1].
- **Rue De Royale:** Firmed from $15 to $13[1].
- **Alabama State:** Crunched from $4.50 to $3.50 after a game effort in the Four Pillars[1].
**Key Market Influences:**
- **Weather:** Ayr's going is good after watering, with partly cloudy conditions[5].
- **Jockey/Trainer Changes:** No significant changes reported in major races.
**Money Flow Indicators:**
- **Unusual Betting Patterns:** Alabama State has seen significant backing, indicating strong support[1].
- **Large Wagers:** No specific large wagers reported but significant money on Alabama State and Aeliana.
**Value Opportunities:**
- **Overlay Opportunities:** Supercilious at $34/$9.5 offers value in exotics[1].
- **Undervalued Horses:** She's Bulletproof at $13 is a notable price horse with hidden form[1].
**Critical Race Factors:**
- **Pace Scenario Analysis:** No detailed pace analysis available for today's races.
- **Track Bias Reports:** No significant track biases reported for today's races.
**Pool Analysis:**
- **Pool Sizes:** No specific pool sizes reported but expect larger pools for feature races at Caulfield and Newcastle.
**Historical Context:**
- **Past Performance:** Aeliana's recent Derby Day triumph makes her a strong contender in similar conditions[1].
- **Trainer Patterns:** Ciaron Maher has multiple strong contenders, including Another Wil and Jimmysstar, indicating a pattern of success in similar situations[1].
- **Caulfield:** Aeliana is a dominant favorite in the Group 1 market, firming since the Derby Day triumph to $3. Zeitung is on the second line at $6, with Declichy Boulevard at $8 after a freshen-up[1].
- **Newcastle:** Far Too Easy is a well-tried favorite to win the feature Group 2, firming from $4.60 to $4.50. Private Eye is on the second line at $6.50 but is heading to Caulfield for the Rupert Clarke[1].
**Notable Odds Shifts:**
- **Pisces:** Firmed from $11 to $8 after beating Bittercreek at The Valley[1].
- **Rue De Royale:** Firmed from $15 to $13[1].
- **Alabama State:** Crunched from $4.50 to $3.50 after a game effort in the Four Pillars[1].
**Key Market Influences:**
- **Weather:** Ayr's going is good after watering, with partly cloudy conditions[5].
- **Jockey/Trainer Changes:** No significant changes reported in major races.
**Money Flow Indicators:**
- **Unusual Betting Patterns:** Alabama State has seen significant backing, indicating strong support[1].
- **Large Wagers:** No specific large wagers reported but significant money on Alabama State and Aeliana.
**Value Opportunities:**
- **Overlay Opportunities:** Supercilious at $34/$9.5 offers value in exotics[1].
- **Undervalued Horses:** She's Bulletproof at $13 is a notable price horse with hidden form[1].
**Critical Race Factors:**
- **Pace Scenario Analysis:** No detailed pace analysis available for today's races.
- **Track Bias Reports:** No significant track biases reported for today's races.
**Pool Analysis:**
- **Pool Sizes:** No specific pool sizes reported but expect larger pools for feature races at Caulfield and Newcastle.
**Historical Context:**
- **Past Performance:** Aeliana's recent Derby Day triumph makes her a strong contender in similar conditions[1].
- **Trainer Patterns:** Ciaron Maher has multiple strong contenders, including Another Wil and Jimmysstar, indicating a pattern of success in similar situations[1].